Wednesday, May 31, 2017

Few of us will be able to afford to buy a do all say all robot, will they cost people their jobs? I don't think so...

I have been reading and thinking a lot about artificial intelligence lately. It is a little out of my niche, but maybe not. It started with an article I read in the newspaper having to do with a guaranteed minimum salary. For me to comment on a minimum salary doesn't make too much sense, I don't think it will come to fruition.
You say, you can't or won't do windows? You need more
software? Good grief Gertrude.
    Let's call them "Robots", I believe there will be an abundance of jobs created for humans by the creation of artificial intelligence. I remember in the late 1970's in the central valley of California when the mechanical grape pickers showed up in the vineyards. The machines picked wine grapes, they caused a lot of damage to the grapes due to how fragile the skins are, and the hardware the machine was made of. The field workers would hang cotton picker spindles in the vines to damage the machines thinking that would save their jobs. The reality was and is, the machines created more jobs, maintenance, gondola drivers (the grapes before had to be carried out of the fields), people doing paperwork and people running the machines. No jobs were lost, in fact it appeared jobs were created.
 
A lot of jobs with less hard labor, although it's still very
hard work. 
I sense the same thing will happen when robots become common use, however,"common use" will have to be defined. Artificial intelligence will be expensive, prohibitively so. To begin with very few of us will be able to afford a "do all" robot, one to wash windows, mow lawns, do dishes, do the wash, paint and the list goes on. What I see taking place is machines will be built, they will not be able to build themselves. Some robots will be employed for manufacturing but they won't be able to perform all of the production jobs. There may be a "basic model" made that can perform a wide range of tasks, but they won't have the software installed. Too many tasks around our homes will have to be custom programmed. No two houses or lots are exactly the same. The software may be handled much like the industrial maintenance programs developed in the 1980's. One model performed all, except the tasks were divided into modules. Creating a lot of programmers, instructors and technical repair people.
    A robot is a mechanical machine, coupled with a very technical software and processing system. How many computers have we owned that were problem free? How many cars have we owned that never broke down? Robots will break down, software can get compromised and mechanical equipment breaks down. How many jobs will just that create? Not even taking into account the amount of custom programs that will have to be written for almost every home, office, and building that is owned by people wanting to use robots. If we think of the self driving cars, trucks and ships, they are, after all, robots, I don't see one repair garage shutting their doors. Contrary, I see more tow truck drivers and vehicle mechanics of every stripe.
Cargo ships are a natural for robots to operate, but what if it
breaks down at sea? Helicopter pilots, programmers and
Mechanics will have to be sent out for repairs. 
   This is a huge subject, if we think of every menial task we would like to have some one else do. I think it will come with a huge price and a huge increase in employment. In my opinion we should start preparing the children in schools for jobs we cannot imagine robots will create. Just like the people picking grapes, I do truly believe we will see an increase in jobs, not a need to have a guaranteed wage. I just don't see it.
   I am way beyond my goal of 500 +/- words, and I ventured outside my niche of survivalism. It is actually a survival skill to be able to get a fair paying job to take advantage of everything we are able to. It will be interesting to see what robots will be next and how they will be integrated into our lives. Like the Roomba.
Thanks for reading, please comment, robots are an interesting direction we will be heading and indeed have been for decades.

Thanks jimandkate EmergencyKitsPlus.com Disaster Preparedness Supplies

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